Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Arlington
Sun Belt
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#107
Expected Predictive Rating+3.5#120
Pace79.5#21
Improvement-4.7#331

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#150
First Shot-1.3#217
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#27
Layup/Dunks+2.2#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#107
Freethrows-0.7#227
Improvement-2.7#293

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#87
First Shot+2.0#109
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#53
Layups/Dunks+5.4#13
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#325
Freethrows-0.6#215
Improvement-2.0#279
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 148   Fordham W 77-72 73%     1 - 0 +3.1 +1.8 +1.1
  Nov 17, 2015 161   @ Louisiana Tech L 68-80 56%     1 - 1 -9.0 -13.2 +5.9
  Nov 20, 2015 69   @ Ohio St. W 73-68 26%     2 - 1 +16.0 +8.5 +7.6
  Nov 23, 2015 71   @ Memphis W 68-64 27%     3 - 1 +14.8 -4.3 +18.7
  Nov 25, 2015 346   Grambling St. W 73-40 97%     4 - 1 +14.8 -12.3 +23.9
  Nov 29, 2015 277   @ Rice W 92-74 80%     5 - 1 +13.4 +11.1 +2.0
  Dec 01, 2015 30   @ Texas L 73-80 OT 15%     5 - 2 +8.7 +2.7 +6.5
  Dec 03, 2015 290   North Texas W 90-67 92%     6 - 2 +11.6 +0.1 +8.8
  Dec 05, 2015 222   @ UTEP W 76-62 69%     7 - 2 +13.4 +1.4 +11.8
  Dec 08, 2015 314   Bradley W 97-61 94%     8 - 2 +22.8 +16.3 +3.6
  Dec 30, 2015 198   Georgia St. W 85-70 82%     9 - 2 1 - 0 +9.9 +3.8 +4.6
  Jan 02, 2016 216   Georgia Southern W 92-72 84%     10 - 2 2 - 0 +13.7 +4.0 +7.3
  Jan 07, 2016 260   @ Appalachian St. W 71-67 77%     11 - 2 3 - 0 +0.8 -13.0 +13.2
  Jan 14, 2016 285   @ Troy W 90-63 81%     12 - 2 4 - 0 +22.0 +14.1 +7.3
  Jan 16, 2016 265   @ South Alabama L 85-88 OT 77%     12 - 3 4 - 1 -6.5 +1.7 -7.7
  Jan 21, 2016 257   Arkansas St. W 91-64 89%     13 - 3 5 - 1 +18.1 +4.0 +11.0
  Jan 23, 2016 77   Arkansas Little Rock L 62-68 51%     13 - 4 5 - 2 -1.8 -11.4 +10.0
  Jan 28, 2016 139   Louisiana Monroe L 88-99 60%     13 - 5 5 - 3 -9.1 +6.5 -14.5
  Jan 30, 2016 126   @ Louisiana L 75-90 46%     13 - 6 5 - 4 -9.5 +0.2 -9.0
  Feb 04, 2016 216   @ Georgia Southern L 73-82 68%     13 - 7 5 - 5 -9.5 -6.6 -2.2
  Feb 06, 2016 198   @ Georgia St. W 90-69 64%     14 - 7 6 - 5 +21.7 +16.5 +4.3
  Feb 09, 2016 219   @ Texas St. W 65-53 69%     15 - 7 7 - 5 +11.4 -5.9 +17.4
  Feb 13, 2016 260   Appalachian St. W 91-60 89%     16 - 7 8 - 5 +21.9 +4.7 +14.4
  Feb 18, 2016 126   Louisiana W 84-83 OT 68%     17 - 7 9 - 5 +0.7 -4.6 +5.2
  Feb 20, 2016 139   Louisiana Monroe L 61-64 70%     17 - 8 9 - 6 -4.1 -13.0 +8.9
  Feb 25, 2016 77   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 60-72 29%     17 - 9 9 - 7 -1.9 -5.2 +3.0
  Feb 27, 2016 257   @ Arkansas St. W 79-75 76%     18 - 9 10 - 7 +0.9 -7.5 +7.7
  Mar 01, 2016 219   Texas St. W 75-69 85%     19 - 9 11 - 7 -0.4 +0.0 -0.5
  Mar 03, 2016 265   South Alabama W 92-79 90%     20 - 9 12 - 7 +3.7 +13.2 -10.3
  Mar 05, 2016 285   Troy W 90-55 92%     21 - 9 13 - 7 +24.1 +11.9 +11.9
  Mar 11, 2016 219   Texas St. W 72-63 78%     22 - 9 +5.5 -4.4 +9.4
  Mar 12, 2016 139   Louisiana Monroe L 71-82 60%     22 - 10 -9.1 -1.6 -7.6
Projected Record 22.0 - 10.0 13.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%